Trading strategy tracker: tag setups and compare them

Your overall win rate hides which setups work. Tag every trade by setup, measure each one on its own and act carefully.

Why track by strategy

Your overall win rate hides which setups actually work. A trader can have one strong setup and one that quietly loses, and the average looks fine. To find out, every trade needs a label for the setup it belongs to, so you can measure each setup on its own.

Step 1: define your setups in writing

A setup is a named, repeatable pattern with entry, stop and target rules. If you cannot write the rules in a few lines, it is not a setup yet. Keep your list short, three to five at first. The Notion trading plan template has a layout for it.

Step 2: tag every trade

Step 3: measure each setup

MeasurePer setup
Number of tradesIs the sample big enough?
Win rateHow often it wins
Average win and average lossPayoff ratio
ExpectancyAverage result per trade; see the expectancy calculator
Plan followed rateDo you trade it as written?

In Notion, group the trades view by Setup and show the sum and average of the result. In a spreadsheet, use a pivot table with Setup in Rows.

Step 4: act on it, carefully

A hypothetical comparison of three setups

SetupTradesWin rateAvg winAvg lossExpectancy
Pullback to support4252%+30-24+4.1
Opening-range fade3540%+55-30+4.0
No clear setup2836%+22-34-13.8

These numbers are made up to show how a comparison looks. Expectancy is win rate times average win minus loss rate times average loss. Notice how the trades with no clear setup lose money even though two named setups are positive, which is exactly what an overall average would hide.

Common mistakes when tracking strategies

What the app does and does not do

AI Trading Journal keeps every closed MT5 trade in your own journal on your PC (with an optional copy in your own Notion workspace) with size, prices, times and result. It does not tag setups or strategies for you; you add the Setup property and fill it in, and existing rows are not overwritten on later syncs. If your trades come from an Expert Advisor, MT5's magic number is not recorded by the app, so tag those trades yourself.

See trading performance analysis for the wider method, and the trading psychology journal for the behaviour side.

This page is general education. It is not trading or investment advice.

How many trades does each setup need?

The measured win rate of a setup is only an estimate. For a setup whose true win rate is near 50%, the 95% margin of error shrinks with the number of trades like this:

Trades in the setupMargin of error on win rateA measured 50% could really be
20about +/- 22 points28% to 72%
40about +/- 15 points35% to 65%
80about +/- 11 points39% to 61%
160about +/- 8 points42% to 58%

With 20 trades, a measured win rate of 50% could really be anywhere from about 28% to 72%, which is enough to hide a losing setup or a winning one. That is the reason this page asks for a few dozen trades per setup before judging it, and why each extra setup you track divides your sample further.

Compare setups fairly

A written rule for retiring a setup (example)

Decide the standard in advance, so that you do not judge on a bad week. An example, with made-up thresholds: 'A setup is paused if, over its last 40 trades with at least 85% plan-followed, its expectancy is below zero and its profit factor is below 0.9. It returns to demo for 30 trades before any live use.' The numbers are yours to choose; what matters is that they are written down before the data arrives.

Version your setups

When you change the rules of a setup, give it a new name, such as Pullback v2, and track it separately from v1. If you silently edit the rules, old and new trades merge into one sample that describes a strategy you no longer trade. A short change log in Notion with the date and the reason for each change keeps the history honest.

Trades from an Expert Advisor

If part of your trading is automated, the app does not record MT5's magic number, so the trades from each Expert Advisor will look like any other. Tag them with a Setup option named after the EA so that you can compare automated and manual results. That comparison is often one of the most revealing a journal can give. See trading performance analysis for the wider method.

Frequently asked questions

How do I track which strategy each trade belongs to?
Add a Setup property to every trade and tag it at entry or right after exit, with an option for trades with no clear setup.
How many trades do I need to judge a setup?
A few dozen per setup. Smaller samples mislead.
Does AI Trading Journal tag setups automatically?
No. It records the trade data automatically; you add your own Setup tag.

Related guides

Let the trade data fill in; tag the setups yourself

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